HKT Trust and HKT Limited

SEHK:6823 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$73.0b

HKT Trust and HKT Valuation

Is 6823 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6823 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6823 (HK$9.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$36.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6823 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6823?

Key metric: As 6823 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6823. This is calculated by dividing 6823's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6823's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.5x
EarningsHK$5.03b
Market CapHK$72.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6823's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6823 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
788 China Tower
16.1x24.2%HK$180.1b
762 China Unicom (Hong Kong)
9.2x5.4%HK$201.9b
728 China Telecom
12x7.1%HK$617.9b
1883 CITIC Telecom International Holdings
8.8x7.5%HK$8.6b
6823 HKT Trust and HKT
14.5x5.1%HK$73.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6823 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6823's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Telecom Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6823 14.5xIndustry Avg. 15.5xNo. of Companies25PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6823 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the Asian Telecom industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6823's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6823 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio10.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6823 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6823 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$9.65
HK$12.03
+24.6%
3.8%HK$12.50HK$11.30n/a4
Nov ’25HK$9.68
HK$12.03
+24.2%
3.8%HK$12.50HK$11.30n/a4
Oct ’25HK$9.95
HK$12.03
+20.9%
3.8%HK$12.50HK$11.30n/a4
Sep ’25HK$9.91
HK$11.70
+18.1%
8.5%HK$12.50HK$10.00n/a4
Aug ’25HK$9.83
HK$11.45
+16.5%
8.9%HK$12.50HK$10.00n/a4
Jul ’25HK$8.76
HK$11.35
+29.6%
8.1%HK$12.30HK$10.00n/a4
Jun ’25HK$9.09
HK$11.48
+26.3%
5.9%HK$12.30HK$10.50n/a6
May ’25HK$8.66
HK$11.48
+32.6%
5.9%HK$12.30HK$10.50n/a6
Apr ’25HK$9.13
HK$11.56
+26.6%
5.6%HK$12.30HK$10.50n/a7
Mar ’25HK$9.41
HK$11.56
+22.8%
5.6%HK$12.30HK$10.50n/a7
Feb ’25HK$9.47
HK$11.41
+20.5%
9.6%HK$13.10HK$9.50n/a7
Jan ’25HK$9.32
HK$11.41
+22.5%
9.6%HK$13.10HK$9.50n/a7
Dec ’24HK$8.35
HK$11.41
+36.7%
9.6%HK$13.10HK$9.50HK$9.677
Nov ’24HK$8.12
HK$11.41
+40.6%
9.6%HK$13.10HK$9.50HK$9.687
Oct ’24HK$8.18
HK$11.41
+39.5%
9.6%HK$13.10HK$9.50HK$9.957
Sep ’24HK$8.36
HK$11.80
+41.1%
9.7%HK$13.10HK$9.50HK$9.917
Aug ’24HK$9.15
HK$12.19
+33.2%
9.8%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$9.837
Jul ’24HK$9.11
HK$12.19
+33.8%
9.8%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$8.767
Jun ’24HK$9.96
HK$12.04
+20.9%
9.8%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$9.098
May ’24HK$10.30
HK$12.04
+16.9%
9.8%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$8.668
Apr ’24HK$10.42
HK$12.04
+15.5%
9.8%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$9.138
Mar ’24HK$10.40
HK$12.07
+16.0%
9.3%HK$13.20HK$9.50HK$9.419
Feb ’24HK$10.52
HK$12.17
+15.7%
10.2%HK$13.60HK$9.50HK$9.479
Jan ’24HK$9.57
HK$12.38
+29.3%
8.0%HK$13.60HK$11.00HK$9.329
Dec ’23HK$9.38
HK$12.32
+31.4%
7.5%HK$13.50HK$11.00HK$8.359

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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