Stock Analysis

Man Yue Technology Holdings (HKG:894) Has No Shortage Of Debt

SEHK:894
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Man Yue Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:894) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Man Yue Technology Holdings

How Much Debt Does Man Yue Technology Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Man Yue Technology Holdings had HK$1.12b of debt in June 2023, down from HK$1.16b, one year before. However, it also had HK$275.9m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$839.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:894 Debt to Equity History October 28th 2023

A Look At Man Yue Technology Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Man Yue Technology Holdings had liabilities of HK$1.58b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$100.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$275.9m and HK$660.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$746.1m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$206.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Man Yue Technology Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Man Yue Technology Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.1 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Man Yue Technology Holdings saw its EBIT tank 50% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Man Yue Technology Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Man Yue Technology Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Man Yue Technology Holdings's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Man Yue Technology Holdings has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Man Yue Technology Holdings (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.