Stock Analysis

Apex Ace Holding (HKG:6036) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SEHK:6036
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Apex Ace Holding Limited (HKG:6036) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Apex Ace Holding

How Much Debt Does Apex Ace Holding Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Apex Ace Holding had HK$538.5m of debt, up from HK$478.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have HK$143.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$394.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:6036 Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022

How Strong Is Apex Ace Holding's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Apex Ace Holding had liabilities of HK$749.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$4.24m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$143.7m and HK$553.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total HK$56.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Apex Ace Holding has a market capitalization of HK$429.1m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.5, it's fair to say Apex Ace Holding does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, the silver lining was that Apex Ace Holding achieved a positive EBIT of HK$25m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Apex Ace Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Apex Ace Holding recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Apex Ace Holding's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to handle its total liabilities isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Apex Ace Holding is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Apex Ace Holding (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.