Stock Analysis

Kingboard Laminates Holdings (HKG:1888) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1888
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Kingboard Laminates Holdings Limited (HKG:1888) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kingboard Laminates Holdings

How Much Debt Does Kingboard Laminates Holdings Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Kingboard Laminates Holdings had debt of HK$5.70b, up from HK$3.32b in one year. However, it does have HK$4.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$1.57b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1888 Debt to Equity History December 28th 2023

How Strong Is Kingboard Laminates Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kingboard Laminates Holdings had liabilities of HK$6.22b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$4.08b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$4.12b in cash and HK$6.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast HK$628.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Kingboard Laminates Holdings has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.82 and interest cover of 5.8 times, it seems to us that Kingboard Laminates Holdings is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, Kingboard Laminates Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 86% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kingboard Laminates Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Kingboard Laminates Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Kingboard Laminates Holdings is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we thought its net debt to EBITDA was a positive. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Kingboard Laminates Holdings's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kingboard Laminates Holdings .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kingboard Laminates Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.