SenseTime Group Inc.

SZSC:20 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$50.6b

SenseTime Group Valuation

Is 20 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 20 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 20's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 20's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 20?

Key metric: As 20 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 20. This is calculated by dividing 20's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 20's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.7x
SalesCN¥3.71b
Market CapCN¥47.11b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 20's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 20 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
9660 Horizon Robotics
24x38.3%HK$54.6b
2556 Marketingforce Management
16.4x28.0%HK$24.5b
268 Kingdee International Software Group
4.7x14.1%HK$29.9b
6682 Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology
4.5x19.3%HK$22.1b
20 SenseTime Group
12.7x26.7%HK$50.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 20's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Software Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6638 OneConnect Financial Technology
0.3x-6.5%US$102.25m
1933 OneForce Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$11.14m
8060 Global Link Communications Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$3.52m
No more companies available in this PS range
20 12.7xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies6PS01.22.43.64.86+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Software industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 20's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

20 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.7x
Fair PS Ratio5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 20 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.44
HK$1.70
+17.9%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Nov ’25HK$1.52
HK$1.70
+11.7%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Oct ’25HK$1.72
HK$1.70
-1.3%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Sep ’25HK$1.18
HK$1.53
+29.4%
24.6%HK$2.04HK$0.77n/a8
Aug ’25HK$1.18
HK$1.55
+31.4%
25.6%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a8
Jul ’25HK$1.32
HK$1.45
+9.8%
27.4%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a8
Jun ’25HK$1.32
HK$1.38
+4.3%
26.6%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a7
May ’25HK$1.22
HK$1.49
+22.0%
27.6%HK$2.02HK$0.75n/a8
Apr ’25HK$0.71
HK$1.87
+163.2%
39.2%HK$3.42HK$0.75n/a8
Mar ’25HK$0.89
HK$2.16
+142.2%
25.1%HK$3.44HK$1.58n/a9
Feb ’25HK$0.79
HK$2.16
+173.8%
25.0%HK$3.45HK$1.58n/a9
Jan ’25HK$1.16
HK$2.17
+87.1%
24.5%HK$3.44HK$1.62n/a9
Dec ’24HK$1.38
HK$2.13
+54.5%
24.4%HK$3.38HK$1.59n/a9
Nov ’24HK$1.40
HK$2.13
+52.3%
24.4%HK$3.38HK$1.59HK$1.529
Oct ’24HK$1.43
HK$2.15
+50.2%
25.6%HK$3.38HK$1.59HK$1.728
Sep ’24HK$1.56
HK$2.47
+58.3%
20.1%HK$3.41HK$1.76HK$1.188
Aug ’24HK$1.82
HK$3.24
+77.7%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.189
Jul ’24HK$2.07
HK$3.24
+56.3%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.329
Jun ’24HK$2.12
HK$3.24
+52.6%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.329
May ’24HK$2.60
HK$3.33
+27.9%
18.7%HK$4.40HK$2.64HK$1.229
Apr ’24HK$2.66
HK$3.03
+13.8%
14.5%HK$3.61HK$2.20HK$0.719
Mar ’24HK$2.71
HK$2.64
-2.5%
22.1%HK$3.57HK$1.93HK$0.898
Feb ’24HK$2.94
HK$2.95
+0.3%
29.1%HK$4.78HK$2.01HK$0.799
Jan ’24HK$2.22
HK$3.19
+43.7%
29.9%HK$4.60HK$1.93HK$1.168
Dec ’23HK$1.94
HK$3.11
+60.2%
29.8%HK$4.45HK$1.87HK$1.387
Nov ’23HK$1.28
HK$3.11
+142.8%
29.8%HK$4.45HK$1.87HK$1.407

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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