Kingdee International Software Group Valuation
Is 268 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 268 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 268 (HK$8.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$34.73)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 268 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 268?
Key metric: As 268 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 268's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 4.8x |
| Sales | CN¥5.98b |
| Market Cap | CN¥28.94b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -119.4x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 268's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 14.1x | ||
2556 Marketingforce Management | 16.3x | 28.0% | HK$24.4b |
6682 Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology | 3.7x | 19.3% | HK$18.1b |
9660 Horizon Robotics | 23.4x | 38.3% | HK$53.3b |
20 SenseTime Group | 13.1x | 26.7% | HK$52.4b |
268 Kingdee International Software Group | 4.8x | 14.1% | HK$31.1b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 268 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 268's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Software Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 268 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Software industry average (1.6x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 268's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 4.8x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 3.7x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 268 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | HK$8.76 | HK$9.98 +13.9% | 24.5% | HK$17.12 | HK$6.28 | n/a | 19 |
| Nov ’25 | HK$8.05 | HK$9.99 +24.1% | 24.1% | HK$17.37 | HK$6.37 | n/a | 21 |
| Oct ’25 | HK$9.00 | HK$9.95 +10.6% | 24.0% | HK$17.63 | HK$6.47 | n/a | 21 |
| Sep ’25 | HK$6.17 | HK$9.85 +59.7% | 24.0% | HK$17.44 | HK$6.40 | n/a | 21 |
| Aug ’25 | HK$6.05 | HK$11.89 +96.5% | 22.6% | HK$18.31 | HK$6.78 | n/a | 21 |
| Jul ’25 | HK$7.32 | HK$13.70 +87.1% | 12.0% | HK$19.64 | HK$11.57 | n/a | 21 |
| Jun ’25 | HK$8.00 | HK$13.80 +72.5% | 11.9% | HK$19.71 | HK$11.61 | n/a | 22 |
| May ’25 | HK$8.36 | HK$13.94 +66.8% | 12.2% | HK$19.77 | HK$11.65 | n/a | 23 |
| Apr ’25 | HK$8.83 | HK$14.48 +64.0% | 14.2% | HK$18.84 | HK$11.68 | n/a | 23 |
| Mar ’25 | HK$8.36 | HK$16.01 +91.5% | 11.4% | HK$19.23 | HK$12.12 | n/a | 23 |
| Feb ’25 | HK$7.89 | HK$16.09 +103.9% | 11.4% | HK$19.33 | HK$12.18 | n/a | 23 |
| Jan ’25 | HK$11.38 | HK$17.75 +56.0% | 10.7% | HK$22.10 | HK$14.46 | n/a | 22 |
| Dec ’24 | HK$10.86 | HK$17.87 +64.5% | 10.5% | HK$21.86 | HK$15.19 | n/a | 22 |
| Nov ’24 | HK$10.48 | HK$17.44 +66.4% | 11.1% | HK$21.83 | HK$13.98 | HK$8.05 | 22 |
| Oct ’24 | HK$9.64 | HK$17.59 +82.5% | 11.3% | HK$21.80 | HK$13.99 | HK$9.00 | 22 |
| Sep ’24 | HK$12.12 | HK$17.72 +46.2% | 10.9% | HK$21.97 | HK$15.05 | HK$6.17 | 22 |
| Aug ’24 | HK$13.22 | HK$18.78 +42.1% | 13.8% | HK$24.14 | HK$13.96 | HK$6.05 | 23 |
| Jul ’24 | HK$10.48 | HK$19.42 +85.3% | 14.1% | HK$25.85 | HK$13.83 | HK$7.32 | 24 |
| Jun ’24 | HK$10.62 | HK$20.13 +89.5% | 12.8% | HK$26.46 | HK$14.16 | HK$8.00 | 25 |
| May ’24 | HK$12.00 | HK$20.80 +73.3% | 12.3% | HK$27.12 | HK$14.52 | HK$8.36 | 25 |
| Apr ’24 | HK$12.72 | HK$20.71 +62.8% | 13.5% | HK$27.32 | HK$13.31 | HK$8.83 | 27 |
| Mar ’24 | HK$16.18 | HK$21.31 +31.7% | 15.2% | HK$27.19 | HK$13.24 | HK$8.36 | 27 |
| Feb ’24 | HK$17.80 | HK$21.24 +19.3% | 17.7% | HK$27.81 | HK$13.55 | HK$7.89 | 27 |
| Jan ’24 | HK$16.74 | HK$19.88 +18.7% | 19.4% | HK$26.75 | HK$12.85 | HK$11.38 | 27 |
| Dec ’23 | HK$13.42 | HK$19.37 +44.4% | 20.1% | HK$26.41 | HK$12.69 | HK$10.86 | 28 |
| Nov ’23 | HK$13.42 | HK$19.16 +42.8% | 20.3% | HK$27.72 | HK$12.35 | HK$10.48 | 26 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Newborn Town
HK$4.3b
An investment holding company, engages in the social networking business worldwide.
9911
HK$3.66
7D
0.8%
1Y
75.1%
Chinasoft International
HK$13.6b
Engages in development and provision of information technology (IT) solutions, IT outsourcing, and training services in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, Malaysia, Japan, Singapore, India, and Saudi Arabia.
354
HK$5.47
7D
1.1%
1Y
-17.5%
Capinfo
HK$634.7m
Provides information technology (IT) services in the People’s Republic of China.
1075
HK$2.19
7D
0.9%
1Y
-28.2%