Stock Analysis

Digital China Holdings (HKG:861) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CN¥0.06

SEHK:861
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Digital China Holdings Limited (HKG:861) will increase its dividend on the 16th of July to CN¥0.06, which is 33% higher than last year's payment from the same period of CN¥0.045. This takes the annual payment to 2.1% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for Digital China Holdings

Digital China Holdings' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Even though Digital China Holdings isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 125.7%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 22%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
SEHK:861 Historic Dividend June 18th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.302, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.0646. The dividend has fallen 79% over that period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Digital China Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at 28% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Digital China Holdings' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Digital China Holdings will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Digital China Holdings that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:861

Digital China Holdings

An investment holding company, provides big data products and solutions for government and enterprise customers primarily in Mainland China.

Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.

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