Expert Systems Holdings Limited's (HKG:8319) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings

When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 11x, you may consider Expert Systems Holdings Limited (HKG:8319) as an attractive investment with its 6.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Expert Systems Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Expert Systems Holdings

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Expert Systems Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Expert Systems Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 18% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Expert Systems Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Expert Systems Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Expert Systems Holdings that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.