SenseTime Group Valuation

Is 20 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 20 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 20's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 20's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 20?

Key metric: As 20 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 20. This is calculated by dividing 20's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 20's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio15.7x
SalesCN¥3.71b
Market CapCN¥58.16b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 20's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 20 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.7x
9660 Horizon Robotics
26.1x30.1%HK$59.3b
268 Kingdee International Software Group
5.8x13.7%HK$37.6b
6682 Beijing Fourth Paradigm Technology
5.4x19.3%HK$27.0b
2556 Marketingforce Management
9.5x28.0%HK$14.2b
20 SenseTime Group
15.7x28.9%HK$62.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.7x) compared to the peer average (11.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 20's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Software Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6638 OneConnect Financial Technology
0.3x-20.1%US$114.69m
1522 BII Railway Transportation Technology Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$69.99m
2392 Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$62.94m
1933 OneForce Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$8.77m
20 15.7xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies8PS0246810+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Software industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 20's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

20 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio15.7x
Fair PS Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 20 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 20 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$1.69
HK$1.80
+6.3%
28.6%HK$2.84HK$1.17n/a8
Jan ’26HK$1.49
HK$1.76
+18.0%
29.1%HK$2.82HK$1.13n/a8
Dec ’25HK$1.49
HK$1.70
+14.0%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Nov ’25HK$1.52
HK$1.70
+11.7%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Oct ’25HK$1.72
HK$1.70
-1.3%
30.1%HK$2.91HK$1.16n/a9
Sep ’25HK$1.18
HK$1.53
+29.4%
24.6%HK$2.04HK$0.77n/a8
Aug ’25HK$1.18
HK$1.55
+31.4%
25.6%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a8
Jul ’25HK$1.32
HK$1.45
+9.8%
27.4%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a8
Jun ’25HK$1.32
HK$1.38
+4.3%
26.6%HK$1.99HK$0.75n/a7
May ’25HK$1.22
HK$1.49
+22.0%
27.6%HK$2.02HK$0.75n/a8
Apr ’25HK$0.71
HK$1.87
+163.2%
39.2%HK$3.42HK$0.75n/a8
Mar ’25HK$0.89
HK$2.16
+142.2%
25.1%HK$3.44HK$1.58n/a9
Feb ’25HK$0.79
HK$2.16
+173.8%
25.0%HK$3.45HK$1.58HK$1.619
Jan ’25HK$1.16
HK$2.17
+87.1%
24.5%HK$3.44HK$1.62HK$1.499
Dec ’24HK$1.38
HK$2.13
+54.5%
24.4%HK$3.38HK$1.59HK$1.499
Nov ’24HK$1.40
HK$2.13
+52.3%
24.4%HK$3.38HK$1.59HK$1.529
Oct ’24HK$1.43
HK$2.15
+50.2%
25.6%HK$3.38HK$1.59HK$1.728
Sep ’24HK$1.56
HK$2.47
+58.3%
20.1%HK$3.41HK$1.76HK$1.188
Aug ’24HK$1.82
HK$3.24
+77.7%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.189
Jul ’24HK$2.07
HK$3.24
+56.3%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.329
Jun ’24HK$2.12
HK$3.24
+52.6%
18.3%HK$4.25HK$2.56HK$1.329
May ’24HK$2.60
HK$3.33
+27.9%
18.7%HK$4.40HK$2.64HK$1.229
Apr ’24HK$2.66
HK$3.03
+13.8%
14.5%HK$3.61HK$2.20HK$0.719
Mar ’24HK$2.71
HK$2.64
-2.5%
22.1%HK$3.57HK$1.93HK$0.898
Feb ’24HK$2.94
HK$2.95
+0.3%
29.1%HK$4.78HK$2.01HK$0.799
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
HK$1.80
Fair Value
5.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/04 08:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/04 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SenseTime Group Inc. is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zhongheng LinBOCI Research Ltd.
Ke QuCCB International Securities Limited
Ronnie HoCCB International Securities Limited