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There's No Escaping QPL International Holdings Limited's (HKG:243) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise
Despite an already strong run, QPL International Holdings Limited (HKG:243) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Even after such a large jump in price, QPL International Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Semiconductor industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.3x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for QPL International Holdings
What Does QPL International Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
QPL International Holdings has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on QPL International Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For QPL International Holdings?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, QPL International Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 15% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 38% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that QPL International Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What Does QPL International Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift QPL International Holdings' P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of QPL International Holdings confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with QPL International Holdings (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if QPL International Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:243
QPL International Holdings
Manufactures and sells integrated circuit lead frames, heatsinks, stiffeners, and related products in the United States, Hong Kong, Europe, the People's Republic of China, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand.
Excellent balance sheet with slight risk.
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