Stock Analysis

Is Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group (HKG:1385) Using Too Much Debt?

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SEHK:1385

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Company Limited (HKG:1385) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group had debt of CN¥1.69b, up from CN¥1.40b in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.01b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥671.2m.

SEHK:1385 Debt to Equity History November 25th 2024

How Strong Is Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group had liabilities of CN¥2.21b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥289.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.01b in cash and CN¥1.85b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥366.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥24.3b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 58% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics Group .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.