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Investors Could Be Concerned With Zhongsheng Group Holdings' (HKG:881) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Zhongsheng Group Holdings (HKG:881) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Zhongsheng Group Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = CN¥9.1b ÷ (CN¥99b - CN¥36b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).
Thus, Zhongsheng Group Holdings has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Specialty Retail industry average of 9.0% it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Zhongsheng Group Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Zhongsheng Group Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Zhongsheng Group Holdings Tell Us?
In terms of Zhongsheng Group Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 14%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, Zhongsheng Group Holdings has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 36% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From Zhongsheng Group Holdings' ROCE
To conclude, we've found that Zhongsheng Group Holdings is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 29% to shareholders over the last five years. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Zhongsheng Group Holdings that we think you should be aware of.
While Zhongsheng Group Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhongsheng Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:881
Zhongsheng Group Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the sale and service of motor vehicles in the People’s Republic of China.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.