Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited

SEHK:3813 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$2.6b

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Valuation

Is 3813 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3813 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3813 (HK$0.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$0.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3813 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3813?

Key metric: As 3813 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3813. This is calculated by dividing 3813's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3813's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.6x
EarningsCN¥522.86m
Market CapCN¥2.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3813's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3813 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.2x
709 Giordano International
9.6x7.4%HK$2.7b
113 Dickson Concepts (International)
7.4xn/aHK$1.9b
393 Glorious Sun Enterprises
34.9xn/aHK$1.8b
2209 YesAsia Holdings
12.9x48.8%HK$1.7b
3813 Pou Sheng International (Holdings)
4.6x18.6%HK$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3813 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3813's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Specialty Retail Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
84 Stelux Holdings International
0.2xn/aUS$10.14m
No more companies available in this PE range
3813 4.6xIndustry Avg. 9.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3813 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Specialty Retail industry average (9.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3813's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3813 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.6x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3813 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3813 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$0.49
HK$1.11
+124.3%
68.2%HK$2.79HK$0.64n/a6
Dec ’25HK$0.54
HK$1.11
+105.6%
68.2%HK$2.79HK$0.64n/a6
Nov ’25HK$0.58
HK$1.20
+107.5%
61.5%HK$2.84HK$0.73n/a6
Oct ’25HK$0.57
HK$1.16
+103.4%
59.8%HK$2.83HK$0.73n/a7
Sep ’25HK$0.59
HK$1.16
+96.5%
59.8%HK$2.83HK$0.73n/a7
Aug ’25HK$0.60
HK$1.17
+94.3%
58.0%HK$2.79HK$0.66n/a7
Jul ’25HK$0.61
HK$1.12
+83.1%
54.5%HK$2.80HK$0.66n/a9
Jun ’25HK$0.65
HK$1.12
+71.9%
54.5%HK$2.80HK$0.66n/a9
May ’25HK$0.66
HK$1.13
+71.0%
53.8%HK$2.79HK$0.67n/a9
Apr ’25HK$0.67
HK$1.13
+68.4%
53.8%HK$2.79HK$0.67n/a9
Mar ’25HK$0.60
HK$1.22
+103.8%
49.7%HK$2.85HK$0.82n/a9
Feb ’25HK$0.59
HK$1.22
+107.3%
49.7%HK$2.85HK$0.82n/a9
Jan ’25HK$0.68
HK$1.22
+79.9%
49.7%HK$2.85HK$0.82n/a9
Dec ’24HK$0.67
HK$1.22
+82.5%
49.7%HK$2.85HK$0.82HK$0.549
Nov ’24HK$0.66
HK$1.28
+93.7%
48.4%HK$2.79HK$0.80HK$0.588
Oct ’24HK$0.68
HK$1.25
+83.1%
47.9%HK$2.80HK$0.80HK$0.579
Sep ’24HK$0.66
HK$1.25
+88.7%
47.9%HK$2.80HK$0.80HK$0.599
Aug ’24HK$0.70
HK$1.14
+62.8%
20.9%HK$1.66HK$0.80HK$0.608
Jul ’24HK$0.59
HK$1.15
+95.6%
18.3%HK$1.59HK$0.82HK$0.618
Jun ’24HK$0.70
HK$1.15
+64.9%
18.3%HK$1.59HK$0.82HK$0.658
May ’24HK$0.65
HK$1.05
+61.0%
20.1%HK$1.42HK$0.77HK$0.668
Apr ’24HK$0.66
HK$1.05
+58.6%
20.1%HK$1.42HK$0.77HK$0.678
Mar ’24HK$0.83
HK$1.12
+34.9%
13.7%HK$1.37HK$0.98HK$0.607
Feb ’24HK$0.94
HK$1.08
+15.1%
24.8%HK$1.40HK$0.52HK$0.597
Jan ’24HK$0.75
HK$0.94
+25.7%
25.4%HK$1.32HK$0.50HK$0.687
Dec ’23HK$0.57
HK$0.93
+63.0%
23.7%HK$1.29HK$0.49HK$0.678

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 09:22
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiaying HuangBOCI Research Ltd.
Rafe JadrosichBofA Global Research
Ai Nar LimCitigroup Inc