Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) (HKG:312) Is Using Debt Extensively

SEHK:312
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) Limited (HKG:312) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)

What Is Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s Debt?

As you can see below, Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) had CN¥565.0m of debt at June 2023, down from CN¥610.3m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥65.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥499.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:312 Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2023

How Healthy Is Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) had liabilities of CN¥971.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥757.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥65.5m in cash and CN¥64.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.60b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥138.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 39,645%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Shirble Department Store Holdings (China)'s level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shirble Department Store Holdings (China) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.