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Guan Chao Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 2954 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

2954 (HK$0.68) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$12.22)

Is 2954 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2954 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2954 (HK$0.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$12.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2954 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2954?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 2954. This is calculated by dividing 2954's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 2954's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	n/a

2954 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2954's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2954 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	20.2x
1759 Sino Gas Holdings Group	31.1x	n/a	HK$118.8m
1771 Sunfonda Group Holdings	n/a	n/a	HK$171.0m
1293 Grand Baoxin Auto Group	n/a	n/a	HK$456.8m
6909 BetterLife Holding	9.3x	n/a	HK$554.0m
2954 Guan Chao Holdings	0.8x	n/a	HK$45.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2954 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2954's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Specialty Retail Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	20.5%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	20.5%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2954 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Specialty Retail industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2954's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2954 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	0.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 2954's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.