Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that MOS House Group Limited (HKG:1653) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for MOS House Group
How Much Debt Does MOS House Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MOS House Group had debt of HK$59.6m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from HK$112.7m over a year. However, it does have HK$14.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$45.6m.
A Look At MOS House Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that MOS House Group had liabilities of HK$156.9m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$21.1m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$14.0m as well as receivables valued at HK$48.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$115.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's HK$103.2m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MOS House Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year MOS House Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to HK$127m. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
While MOS House Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$4.9m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. It's fair to say the loss of HK$4.9m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example MOS House Group has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1653
MOS House Group
An investment holding company, engages in the trading of tiles and bathroom fixtures in Hong Kong and Macau.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.