Stock Analysis

Should You Be Adding Longfor Group Holdings (HKG:960) To Your Watchlist Today?

SEHK:960
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like Longfor Group Holdings (HKG:960), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

See our latest analysis for Longfor Group Holdings

Longfor Group Holdings's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

As one of my mentors once told me, share price follows earnings per share (EPS). It's no surprise, then, that I like to invest in companies with EPS growth. Over the last three years, Longfor Group Holdings has grown EPS by 14% per year. That's a pretty good rate, if the company can sustain it.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. While Longfor Group Holdings did well to grow revenue over the last year, EBIT margins were dampened at the same time. So it seems the future my hold further growth, especially if EBIT margins can stabilize.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:960 Earnings and Revenue History October 14th 2021

In investing, as in life, the future matters more than the past. So why not check out this free interactive visualization of Longfor Group Holdings's forecast profits?

Are Longfor Group Holdings Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

Although we did see some insider selling (worth -CN¥123m) this was overshadowed by a mountain of buying, totalling CN¥2.5b in just one year. This makes me even more interested in Longfor Group Holdings because it suggests that those who understand the company best, are optimistic. It is also worth noting that it was Executive Chairperson of the Board Yajun Wu who made the biggest single purchase, worth HK$2.3b, paying HK$47.00 per share.

And the insider buying isn't the only sign of alignment between shareholders and the board, since Longfor Group Holdings insiders own more than a third of the company. In fact, they own 52% of the company, so they will share in the same delights and challenges experienced by the ordinary shareholders. This makes me think they will be incentivised to plan for the long term - something I like to see. At the current share price, that insider holding is worth a whopping CN¥112b. That means they have plenty of their own capital riding on the performance of the business!

Does Longfor Group Holdings Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

One important encouraging feature of Longfor Group Holdings is that it is growing profits. On top of that, we've seen insiders buying shares even though they already own plenty. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. You still need to take note of risks, for example - Longfor Group Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Longfor Group Holdings isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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