The board of China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (HKG:688) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.45 per share on the 5th of October. This means the annual payment is 6.6% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for China Overseas Land & Investment
China Overseas Land & Investment's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, China Overseas Land & Investment was paying a whopping 114% as a dividend, but this only made up 14% of its overall earnings. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 0.4% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 32%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
China Overseas Land & Investment Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.22 to CN¥0.98. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% a year over that time. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. China Overseas Land & Investment has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 5.5% per annum. China Overseas Land & Investment definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
Our Thoughts On China Overseas Land & Investment's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While China Overseas Land & Investment is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Overseas Land & Investment that you should be aware of before investing. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:688
China Overseas Land & Investment
An investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment, and other operations in the People’s Republic of China and the United Kingdom.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.