Stock Analysis

Sino-Ocean Group Holding (HKG:3377) Share Prices Have Dropped 74% In The Last Three Years

SEHK:3377
Source: Shutterstock

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. Long term Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited (HKG:3377) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Sadly for them, the share price is down 74% in that time. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 50% in a year. The good news is that the stock is up 1.9% in the last week.

See our latest analysis for Sino-Ocean Group Holding

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Sino-Ocean Group Holding saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 27% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 37% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 5.02.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:3377 Earnings Per Share Growth January 8th 2021

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sino-Ocean Group Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Sino-Ocean Group Holding, it has a TSR of -70% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 12% in the last year, Sino-Ocean Group Holding shareholders lost 47% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sino-Ocean Group Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sino-Ocean Group Holding you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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