Stock Analysis

Swire Properties (HKG:1972) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SEHK:1972
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Swire Properties Limited (HKG:1972) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Swire Properties

What Is Swire Properties's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Swire Properties had debt of HK$25.7b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from HK$27.8b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$16.9b, its net debt is less, at about HK$8.76b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1972 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2021

A Look At Swire Properties' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Swire Properties had liabilities of HK$17.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of HK$28.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$16.9b as well as receivables valued at HK$2.53b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$25.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Swire Properties has a huge market capitalization of HK$115.4b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Swire Properties has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.90. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 37.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, Swire Properties grew its EBIT by 5.9% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Swire Properties's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Swire Properties recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Swire Properties's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Swire Properties takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Swire Properties , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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