Stock Analysis

Jingrui Holdings (HKG:1862) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

SEHK:1862
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jingrui Holdings Limited (HKG:1862) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Jingrui Holdings

What Is Jingrui Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 Jingrui Holdings had debt of CN¥24.0b, up from CN¥20.4b in one year. However, it does have CN¥12.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥11.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1862 Debt to Equity History April 13th 2021

How Strong Is Jingrui Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jingrui Holdings had liabilities of CN¥43.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥13.9b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥12.1b in cash and CN¥8.41b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥36.5b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥2.88b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Jingrui Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Jingrui Holdings has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.9 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 4.3 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Another concern for investors might be that Jingrui Holdings's EBIT fell 11% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jingrui Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jingrui Holdings barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

On the face of it, Jingrui Holdings's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Jingrui Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Jingrui Holdings (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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