Country Garden Services Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Country Garden Services Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 40.4% and 2.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 43.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.1% in 3 years.

Key information

40.4%

Earnings growth rate

43.6%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth	21.6%
Revenue growth rate	2.7%
Future return on equity	6.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	13 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SZSC:6098 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	46,893	2,849	3,062	4,738	15
12/31/2025	45,513	2,805	4,517	4,151	17
12/31/2024	43,584	2,403	3,273	3,602	16
6/30/2024	42,925	-618	1,991	2,693	N/A
3/31/2024	42,768	-163	2,833	3,654	N/A
12/31/2023	42,612	292	3,675	4,615	N/A
9/30/2023	42,328	1,006	2,969	3,891	N/A
6/30/2023	42,044	1,719	2,263	3,167	N/A
3/31/2023	41,705	1,831	2,349	3,244	N/A
12/31/2022	41,367	1,943	2,435	3,321	N/A
9/30/2022	39,353	3,220	3,363	4,286	N/A
6/30/2022	37,339	4,496	4,290	5,251	N/A
3/31/2022	33,091	4,265	3,555	4,329	N/A
12/31/2021	28,843	4,033	2,821	3,407	N/A
9/30/2021	24,866	3,759	2,963	3,440	N/A
6/30/2021	20,889	3,484	3,106	3,473	N/A
3/31/2021	18,245	3,085	3,187	3,543	N/A
12/31/2020	15,600	2,686	3,268	3,614	N/A
9/30/2020	14,000	2,427	3,088	3,326	N/A
6/30/2020	12,401	2,169	2,908	3,038	N/A
3/31/2020	11,023	1,920	3,029	3,147	N/A
12/31/2019	9,645	1,671	3,150	3,257	N/A
9/30/2019	7,910	1,470	2,519	2,621	N/A
6/30/2019	6,175	1,269	1,887	1,985	N/A
3/31/2019	5,425	1,096	1,675	1,767	N/A
12/31/2018	4,675	923	1,463	1,549	N/A
9/30/2018	4,199	797	1,287	1,363	N/A
6/30/2018	3,723	671	1,110	1,177	N/A
3/31/2018	3,422	536	N/A	1,031	N/A
12/31/2017	3,122	402	N/A	885	N/A
12/31/2016	2,358	324	N/A	1,001	N/A
12/31/2015	1,672	220	N/A	-12	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 6098 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: 6098 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 6098 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 6098's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 6098's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 6098's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.1%).

Country Garden Services Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Now 20% undervalued

New minor risk - Share price stability

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.43 (vs CN¥0.70 in 1H 2023)

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.43 (vs CN¥0.70 in 1H 2023)

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Updates Special Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 22, 2024

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Declares Special Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.29 per share

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 21%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22%

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.087 (vs CN¥0.58 in FY 2022)

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, Jun 06, 2024

Dividend of CN¥0.29 announced

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.087 (vs CN¥0.58 in FY 2022)

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on September 30, 2024

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 27, 2024

Now 25% overvalued

New minor risk - Share price stability

Now 21% overvalued

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Announces Board Changes

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.70 (vs CN¥0.77 in 1H 2022)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19%

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 11 August 2023

New minor risk - Share price stability

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 23%

President & Executive Director recently sold HK$28m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.37 per share at 1.7% yield

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.58 (vs CN¥1.28 in FY 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17%

Executive Director recently sold HK$11m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Less than half of directors are independent

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited (SEHK:6098) entered into an equity transfer agreement to acquire 21.47% stake in Hopefluent Group Holdings Limited (SEHK:733) from Fu Wai Chung, Ng Wan and Fu Man for HKD 233 million.

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Executive Director recently sold HK$488k worth of stock

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Announces Board Resignations

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.77 (vs CN¥0.70 in 1H 2021)

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2021, Payable on 30 August 2022

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2021

Upcoming dividend of CN¥0.30 per share

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Less than half of directors are independent

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 27, 2022

Executive Director recently sold HK$11m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.28 (vs CN¥0.98 in FY 2020)

Country Garden Services Holdings Company Limited Announces Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on 30 August 2022

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

President & Executive Director recently bought HK$915k worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

President & Executive Director recently bought HK$4.6m worth of stock

President & Executive Director recently bought HK$47m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Non-Executive Director recently sold HK$12m worth of stock

Non-Executive Director recently bought HK$57m worth of stock

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

President & Executive Director recently sold HK$71m worth of stock

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.70 (vs CN¥0.48 in 1H 2020)