Times Neighborhood Holdings Limited

SEHK:9928 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$461.7m

Times Neighborhood Holdings Valuation

Is 9928 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9928 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9928 (HK$0.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$2.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9928 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9928?

Key metric: As 9928 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 9928. This is calculated by dividing 9928's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 9928's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.1x
EarningsCN¥82.61m
Market CapCN¥429.91m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 9928's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 9928 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.9x
2529 Hollwin Urban Operation Service Group
6.3xn/aHK$478.4m
2352 Dowell Service Group
22.6xn/aHK$448.8m
2210 Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services
4.4xn/aHK$482.5m
606 SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings
2.2xn/aHK$474.1m
9928 Times Neighborhood Holdings
5.1xn/aHK$461.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 9928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9928's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings
0.3xn/aUS$229.98m
2768 Jiayuan International Group
1.4x31.6%US$151.18m
3883 China Aoyuan Group
0.06xn/aUS$143.57m
2117 Datang Group Holdings
1.2xn/aUS$87.18m
9928 5.1xIndustry Avg. 7.5xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 9928 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9928's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9928 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 9928's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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