China Merchants Land Limited

SEHK:978 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$1.2b

China Merchants Land Valuation

Is 978 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 978 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 978 (HK$0.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 978 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 978?

Key metric: As 978 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 978. This is calculated by dividing 978's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 978's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.05x
SalesCN¥24.23b
Market CapCN¥1.12b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 978's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 978 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
230 Minmetals Land
0.1xn/aHK$1.1b
169 Wanda Hotel Development
1.1xn/aHK$1.1b
93 Zero Fintech Group
7.2xn/aHK$1.6b
160 Hon Kwok Land Investment Company
0.8xn/aHK$864.5m
978 China Merchants Land
0.05xn/aHK$1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 978 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 978's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

89 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x4.7%
978 China Merchants Land
0.05xn/aUS$154.39m
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.29b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.1x-0.4%US$2.97b
978 0.0xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies89PS00.81.62.43.24+
89 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.6x21.1%
978 China Merchants Land
0.05xn/aUS$154.39m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 978 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 978's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

978 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.05x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 978's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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