Stock Analysis

Is Longfor Group Holdings Limited (HKG:960) Potentially Undervalued?

SEHK:960
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Today we're going to take a look at the well-established Longfor Group Holdings Limited (HKG:960). The company's stock led the SEHK gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Longfor Group Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Longfor Group Holdings

Is Longfor Group Holdings Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 18% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Longfor Group Holdings today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is HK$29.66, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Longfor Group Holdings’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Longfor Group Holdings generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:960 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 19th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 10% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Longfor Group Holdings. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? 960’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 960, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Longfor Group Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Longfor Group Holdings you should be mindful of and 1 of these is significant.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.