Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Auto Italia Holdings Limited (HKG:720) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Auto Italia Holdings
How Much Debt Does Auto Italia Holdings Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Auto Italia Holdings had HK$383.7m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has HK$27.2m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$356.5m.
How Healthy Is Auto Italia Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Auto Italia Holdings had liabilities of HK$377.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$33.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$27.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$9.39m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$373.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Auto Italia Holdings is worth HK$931.5m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Auto Italia Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Auto Italia Holdings reported revenue of HK$39m, which is a gain of 31%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Auto Italia Holdings managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at HK$1.4m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of HK$70m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Auto Italia Holdings that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:720
Auto Italia Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the marketing, distribution, and after-sales servicing of Italian branded cars in the People’s Republic of China, the United Kingdom, and Hong Kong.
Mediocre balance sheet very low.