Stock Analysis

China Overseas Land & Investment (HKG:688) Has Announced That Its Dividend Will Be Reduced To CN¥0.30

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SEHK:688

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited's (HKG:688) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to CN¥0.30 on the 4th of October. However, the dividend yield of 6.5% still remains in a typical range for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for China Overseas Land & Investment

China Overseas Land & Investment's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. However, prior to this announcement, China Overseas Land & Investment's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 10.1%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 35% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

SEHK:688 Historic Dividend August 30th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CN¥0.373, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CN¥0.727. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.9% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. China Overseas Land & Investment might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though China Overseas Land & Investment's EPS has declined at around 10% a year. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

Our Thoughts On China Overseas Land & Investment's Dividend

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Overseas Land & Investment that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.