Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Shenzhen Investment Limited (HKG:604) For Its Next Dividend

SEHK:604
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Shenzhen Investment Limited (HKG:604) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 4 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Shenzhen Investment's shares before the 4th of June in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 8th of July.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.07 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of HK$0.14 per share. Last year's total dividend payments show that Shenzhen Investment has a trailing yield of 8.3% on the current share price of HK$1.08. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Investment

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Shenzhen Investment's dividend is not well covered by earnings, as the company lost money last year. This is not a sustainable state of affairs, so it would be worth investigating if earnings are expected to recover. Considering the lack of profitability, we also need to check if the company generated enough cash flow to cover the dividend payment. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. Fortunately, it paid out only 32% of its free cash flow in the past year.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SEHK:604 Historic Dividend May 30th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Shenzhen Investment was unprofitable last year and, unfortunately, the general trend suggests its earnings have been in decline over the last five years, making us wonder if the dividend is sustainable at all.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Shenzhen Investment has seen its dividend decline 6.7% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Get our latest analysis on Shenzhen Investment's balance sheet health here.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy Shenzhen Investment for the upcoming dividend? It's hard to get used to Shenzhen Investment paying a dividend despite reporting a loss over the past year. At least the dividend was covered by free cash flow, however. It's not that we think Shenzhen Investment is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Shenzhen Investment don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Be aware that Shenzhen Investment is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious...

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.