Stock Analysis

Does Shin Hwa World (HKG:582) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SEHK:582
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shin Hwa World Limited (HKG:582) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shin Hwa World

What Is Shin Hwa World's Debt?

As you can see below, Shin Hwa World had HK$1.42b of debt at December 2023, down from HK$1.56b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$266.0m, its net debt is less, at about HK$1.15b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:582 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024

How Strong Is Shin Hwa World's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shin Hwa World had liabilities of HK$312.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$1.48b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of HK$266.0m and HK$58.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.53b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$248.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Shin Hwa World would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shin Hwa World will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Shin Hwa World had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 25%, to HK$1.0b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Shin Hwa World's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$481m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through HK$103m in the last year. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shin Hwa World you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.