CSI Properties Valuation

Is 497 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 497 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 497 (HK$0.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$3.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 497 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 497?

Key metric: As 497 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 497. This is calculated by dividing 497's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 497's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesHK$1.58b
Market CapHK$792.04m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 497's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 497 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
672 Zhong An Group
0.03xn/aHK$727.0m
1243 Wang On Properties
1.9xn/aHK$577.6m
1321 China New City Group
0.4xn/aHK$1.5b
147 International Business Settlement Holdings
9.1xn/aHK$1.6b
497 CSI Properties
0.5x-66.8%HK$792.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 497 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 497's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.26b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.2x-0.4%US$2.94b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$2.69b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.79b
497 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies90PS00.81.62.43.24+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 497 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 497's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

497 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 497 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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