New City Development Group Limited

SEHK:456 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$68.0m

New City Development Group Valuation

Is 456 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 456 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 456 (HK$0.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 456 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 456?

Key metric: As 456 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 456. This is calculated by dividing 456's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 456's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesHK$138.90m
Market CapHK$68.00m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 456's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 456 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
1124 Coastal Greenland
18.8xn/aHK$72.6m
1902 Yincheng International Holding
0.007xn/aHK$66.6m
106 Landsea Green Management
0.01xn/aHK$89.7m
262 Deson Development International Holdings
0.6xn/aHK$86.5m
456 New City Development Group
0.5xn/aHK$68.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 456 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 456's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

90 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1908 C&D International Investment Group
0.2x3.1%US$3.26b
3900 Greentown China Holdings
0.2x-0.4%US$2.94b
1918 Sunac China Holdings
0.2x-14.2%US$2.69b
817 China Jinmao Holdings Group
0.2x-1.0%US$1.79b
456 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies90PS00.81.62.43.24+
90 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 456 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 456's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

456 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 456's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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