Stock Analysis

Joy City Property (HKG:207) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SEHK:207
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Joy City Property Limited (HKG:207) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Joy City Property

How Much Debt Does Joy City Property Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Joy City Property had CN„47.5b of debt, up from CN„45.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN„19.8b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN„27.7b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:207 Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Strong Is Joy City Property's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Joy City Property had liabilities of CN„43.4b due within a year, and liabilities of CN„43.4b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN„19.8b in cash and CN„4.39b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN„62.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN„2.74b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Joy City Property would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Joy City Property has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.6 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.3 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. On a lighter note, we note that Joy City Property grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Joy City Property's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Joy City Property actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

While Joy City Property's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Joy City Property's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Joy City Property you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.