China New Town Development Company Limited

SEHK:1278 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$603.0m

China New Town Development Valuation

Is 1278 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1278 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1278's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1278's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1278?

Key metric: As 1278 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1278. This is calculated by dividing 1278's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1278's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4x
EarningsCN¥140.20m
Market CapCN¥566.61m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1278's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1278 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.1x
672 Zhong An Group
1.7xn/aHK$625.6m
3616 Ever Reach Group (Holdings)
1.6xn/aHK$312.0m
9982 Central China Management
1.4x4.4%HK$425.2m
798 China Electronics Optics Valley Union Holding
3.8xn/aHK$1.8b
1278 China New Town Development
4xn/aHK$603.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1278 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (2.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1278's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Real Estate Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
29 Dynamic Holdings
0.5xn/aUS$325.57m
2768 Jiayuan International Group
1.4x31.6%US$151.18m
3883 China Aoyuan Group
0.05xn/aUS$111.12m
2117 Datang Group Holdings
1.2xn/aUS$87.18m
1278 4.0xIndustry Avg. 7.0xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1278 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x) compared to the Hong Kong Real Estate industry average (7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1278's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1278 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1278's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 02:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China New Town Development Company Limited is covered by 1 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Xiaoxia YangCinda International Research Limited