Stock Analysis

Is Guangdong Land Holdings (HKG:124) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

SEHK:124
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Guangdong Land Holdings Limited (HKG:124) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Land Holdings

What Is Guangdong Land Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangdong Land Holdings had debt of HK$22.6b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from HK$27.4b over a year. However, it also had HK$4.26b in cash, and so its net debt is HK$18.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:124 Debt to Equity History September 10th 2024

How Strong Is Guangdong Land Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangdong Land Holdings had liabilities of HK$26.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$14.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$4.26b in cash and HK$704.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$35.8b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$564.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Guangdong Land Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Guangdong Land Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Guangdong Land Holdings reported revenue of HK$5.7b, which is a gain of 207%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Guangdong Land Holdings still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$2.5b. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost HK$2.5b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Guangdong Land Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.