Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited

SZSC:1177 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$59.2b

Sino Biopharmaceutical Valuation

Is 1177 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1177 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1177 (HK$3.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$11.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1177 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1177?

Key metric: As 1177 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1177. This is calculated by dividing 1177's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1177's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsCN¥2.14b
Market CapCN¥55.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1177's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1177 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
1093 CSPC Pharmaceutical Group
10.6x2.7%HK$58.7b
3692 Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group
21.8x2.7%HK$110.6b
3320 China Resources Pharmaceutical Group
8x7.3%HK$32.5b
867 China Medical System Holdings
12.1x21.4%HK$18.1b
1177 Sino Biopharmaceutical
25.7x12.9%HK$59.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1177 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1177's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1177 25.7xIndustry Avg. 8.0xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1177 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Hong Kong Pharmaceuticals industry average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1177's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1177 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1177 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1177 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$3.25
HK$4.46
+37.1%
20.6%HK$6.90HK$2.91n/a23
Nov ’25HK$3.60
HK$4.53
+25.8%
20.6%HK$7.01HK$2.96n/a23
Oct ’25HK$3.73
HK$4.68
+25.5%
22.8%HK$7.10HK$3.08n/a23
Sep ’25HK$3.23
HK$4.59
+42.2%
23.1%HK$7.02HK$3.04n/a23
Aug ’25HK$2.79
HK$4.57
+63.9%
29.7%HK$9.10HK$2.99n/a23
Jul ’25HK$2.67
HK$4.58
+71.7%
29.2%HK$9.09HK$2.99n/a23
Jun ’25HK$2.84
HK$4.59
+61.6%
29.4%HK$9.12HK$3.00n/a23
May ’25HK$2.70
HK$4.67
+73.1%
28.9%HK$9.15HK$3.04n/a22
Apr ’25HK$3.02
HK$4.69
+55.5%
30.0%HK$9.16HK$3.02n/a21
Mar ’25HK$3.11
HK$5.07
+63.0%
32.1%HK$9.20HK$3.03n/a21
Feb ’25HK$2.91
HK$5.07
+74.2%
31.7%HK$9.31HK$3.05n/a22
Jan ’25HK$3.47
HK$5.65
+62.8%
43.1%HK$14.31HK$3.05n/a24
Dec ’24HK$3.73
HK$5.55
+48.9%
42.3%HK$14.09HK$3.00n/a25
Nov ’24HK$3.08
HK$5.51
+78.9%
42.4%HK$14.00HK$2.98HK$3.6025
Oct ’24HK$2.83
HK$5.65
+99.7%
39.4%HK$14.00HK$2.98HK$3.7326
Sep ’24HK$2.98
HK$5.82
+95.2%
37.1%HK$14.15HK$3.01HK$3.2327
Aug ’24HK$3.54
HK$6.35
+79.2%
37.2%HK$14.22HK$3.67HK$2.7924
Jul ’24HK$3.41
HK$6.86
+101.2%
35.1%HK$14.14HK$3.79HK$2.6722
Jun ’24HK$3.64
HK$6.95
+90.9%
34.2%HK$13.92HK$3.87HK$2.8422
May ’24HK$4.34
HK$7.17
+65.3%
33.8%HK$14.32HK$3.98HK$2.7022
Apr ’24HK$4.40
HK$7.45
+69.2%
31.9%HK$14.44HK$4.01HK$3.0222
Mar ’24HK$4.16
HK$7.44
+78.9%
31.4%HK$14.27HK$4.13HK$3.1122
Feb ’24HK$4.60
HK$7.64
+66.1%
31.6%HK$14.58HK$4.22HK$2.9122
Jan ’24HK$4.57
HK$7.53
+64.7%
32.6%HK$14.15HK$4.10HK$3.4723
Dec ’23HK$4.45
HK$7.18
+61.3%
30.0%HK$13.23HK$4.03HK$3.7322
Nov ’23HK$4.19
HK$6.92
+65.2%
31.1%HK$12.96HK$3.92HK$3.0822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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