Luye Pharma Group Valuation

Is 2186 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2186 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 2186's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 2186's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2186?

Key metric: As 2186 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2186. This is calculated by dividing 2186's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2186's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.6x
EarningsCN¥770.46m
Market CapCN¥8.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2186's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2186 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.7x
719 Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical
8xn/aHK$9.8b
2005 SSY Group
8.1x5.8%HK$11.3b
570 China Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings
11.1xn/aHK$11.4b
1681 Consun Pharmaceutical Group
7.6x14.9%HK$7.0b
2186 Luye Pharma Group
11.6x16.9%HK$9.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2186 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2186's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
2186 11.6xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2186 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the Hong Kong Pharmaceuticals industry average (8.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2186's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2186 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2186 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2186 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$2.55
HK$3.64
+42.8%
12.5%HK$3.97HK$3.00n/a3
Nov ’25HK$2.83
HK$3.64
+28.7%
12.5%HK$3.97HK$3.00n/a3
Oct ’25HK$3.35
HK$3.59
+7.1%
15.5%HK$3.99HK$2.80n/a3
Sep ’25HK$3.05
HK$3.63
+19.0%
15.1%HK$4.03HK$2.85n/a3
Aug ’25HK$2.81
HK$3.05
+8.4%
21.7%HK$3.95HK$2.39n/a3
Jul ’25HK$2.70
HK$3.05
+12.8%
21.4%HK$3.94HK$2.40n/a3
Jun ’25HK$2.68
HK$3.05
+13.6%
21.4%HK$3.94HK$2.40n/a3
May ’25HK$2.77
HK$3.01
+8.7%
22.3%HK$3.95HK$2.40n/a3
Apr ’25HK$2.73
HK$3.49
+27.8%
29.4%HK$4.94HK$2.37n/a4
Mar ’25HK$2.90
HK$3.44
+18.8%
29.3%HK$4.97HK$2.38n/a4
Feb ’25HK$2.62
HK$3.40
+29.8%
30.7%HK$4.97HK$2.39n/a4
Jan ’25HK$3.73
HK$2.90
-22.3%
20.8%HK$3.75HK$2.40n/a3
Dec ’24HK$3.87
HK$2.90
-25.1%
20.8%HK$3.75HK$2.40n/a3
Nov ’24HK$3.80
HK$2.91
-23.5%
18.7%HK$3.65HK$2.37HK$2.833
Oct ’24HK$3.51
HK$2.89
-17.7%
19.1%HK$3.65HK$2.37HK$3.353
Sep ’24HK$2.88
HK$3.12
+8.2%
19.8%HK$3.86HK$2.38HK$3.054
Aug ’24HK$3.59
HK$3.48
-2.9%
31.2%HK$5.17HK$2.40HK$2.814
Jul ’24HK$3.31
HK$3.28
-0.8%
37.9%HK$5.15HK$2.05HK$2.704
Jun ’24HK$3.44
HK$3.48
+1.1%
33.6%HK$5.41HK$2.15HK$2.685
May ’24HK$3.85
HK$3.50
-9.2%
33.7%HK$5.45HK$2.15HK$2.775
Apr ’24HK$3.64
HK$3.25
-10.6%
41.2%HK$5.50HK$2.00HK$2.735
Mar ’24HK$3.69
HK$3.25
-11.8%
41.2%HK$5.50HK$2.00HK$2.905
Feb ’24HK$4.11
HK$3.25
-20.8%
41.2%HK$5.50HK$2.00HK$2.625
Jan ’24HK$3.66
HK$2.96
-19.2%
46.8%HK$5.57HK$2.00HK$3.735
Dec ’23HK$3.09
HK$2.23
-27.9%
22.2%HK$3.08HK$1.92HK$3.874
Nov ’23HK$1.97
HK$2.40
+21.7%
23.5%HK$3.10HK$1.92HK$3.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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