RemeGen Valuation

Is 9995 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9995 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9995 (HK$30) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$90.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9995 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9995?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

9995 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue20.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-18.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9995's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9995 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
6826 Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology
2.4xn/aHK$15.5b
6990 Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical
22.1x28.3%HK$36.9b
1530 3SBio
1.9x7.6%HK$15.7b
9969 InnoCare Pharma
11.6x24.5%HK$9.4b
9995 RemeGen
12x26.1%HK$26.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9995 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 9995's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a35.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9995 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x) compared to the Hong Kong Biotechs industry average (11.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9995's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9995 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12x
Fair PS Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9995 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 9995 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$30.00
HK$42.88
+42.9%
25.8%HK$62.99HK$27.94n/a13
Apr ’25HK$27.15
HK$44.74
+64.8%
29.1%HK$62.99HK$25.88n/a12
Mar ’25HK$22.35
HK$53.29
+138.4%
24.9%HK$66.42HK$26.01n/a13
Feb ’25HK$17.04
HK$55.48
+225.6%
19.5%HK$66.76HK$27.16n/a13
Jan ’25HK$37.45
HK$57.51
+53.6%
13.0%HK$66.99HK$38.46n/a13
Dec ’24HK$45.15
HK$57.51
+27.4%
13.0%HK$66.99HK$38.46n/a13
Nov ’24HK$44.55
HK$55.79
+25.2%
12.8%HK$65.27HK$37.48n/a14
Oct ’24HK$40.30
HK$56.31
+39.7%
15.8%HK$68.03HK$36.20n/a15
Sep ’24HK$36.60
HK$58.51
+59.9%
9.3%HK$67.04HK$48.49n/a14
Aug ’24HK$45.30
HK$61.22
+35.1%
9.7%HK$68.72HK$48.92n/a13
Jul ’24HK$34.25
HK$62.01
+81.1%
11.3%HK$74.88HK$48.77n/a13
Jun ’24HK$32.10
HK$63.41
+97.5%
11.3%HK$76.71HK$49.97n/a13
May ’24HK$45.80
HK$64.87
+41.6%
11.9%HK$79.84HK$50.00HK$27.9513
Apr ’24HK$41.85
HK$68.25
+63.1%
7.4%HK$80.35HK$60.51HK$27.1512
Mar ’24HK$54.45
HK$73.97
+35.8%
8.7%HK$86.53HK$64.00HK$22.3512
Feb ’24HK$66.45
HK$72.79
+9.5%
9.3%HK$87.90HK$64.74HK$17.0412
Jan ’24HK$57.90
HK$70.36
+21.5%
9.5%HK$83.96HK$61.84HK$37.4513
Dec ’23HK$47.95
HK$70.90
+47.9%
9.5%HK$84.08HK$61.92HK$45.1512
Nov ’23HK$49.40
HK$67.10
+35.8%
9.8%HK$77.79HK$53.00HK$44.5511
Oct ’23HK$38.05
HK$70.46
+85.2%
11.5%HK$83.51HK$54.93HK$40.3012
Sep ’23HK$45.30
HK$70.42
+55.5%
10.8%HK$84.83HK$55.80HK$36.6012
Aug ’23HK$44.90
HK$72.33
+61.1%
11.4%HK$87.16HK$57.33HK$45.3012
Jul ’23HK$43.95
HK$71.18
+61.9%
13.4%HK$87.59HK$52.96HK$34.2513
Jun ’23HK$30.20
HK$68.53
+126.9%
16.1%HK$86.96HK$47.61HK$32.1013
May ’23HK$33.80
HK$73.91
+118.7%
22.1%HK$114.69HK$48.54HK$45.8012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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