Stock Analysis

When Can We Expect A Profit From CStone Pharmaceuticals (HKG:2616)?

SEHK:2616
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CStone Pharmaceuticals (HKG:2616) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. CStone Pharmaceuticals, a biopharmaceutical company, researches, develops, and commercializes immuno-oncology and precision medicines to address the unmet medical needs of cancer patients in China and internationally. The HK$2.2b market-cap company announced a latest loss of CN¥367m on 31 December 2023 for its most recent financial year result. The most pressing concern for investors is CStone Pharmaceuticals' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts’ expectations for the company.

View our latest analysis for CStone Pharmaceuticals

CStone Pharmaceuticals is bordering on breakeven, according to some Hong Kong Biotechs analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2025, before generating positive profits of CNÂĽ69m in 2026. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 2 years from now. How fast will the company have to grow each year in order to reach the breakeven point by 2026? Working backwards from analyst estimates, it turns out that they expect the company to grow 70% year-on-year, on average, which is extremely buoyant. Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:2616 Earnings Per Share Growth September 30th 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of CStone Pharmaceuticals' upcoming projects, but, take into account that by and large biotechs, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means that a high growth rate is not unusual, especially if the company is currently in an investment period.

Before we wrap up, there’s one issue worth mentioning. CStone Pharmaceuticals currently has a relatively high level of debt. Generally, the rule of thumb is debt shouldn’t exceed 40% of your equity, which in CStone Pharmaceuticals' case is 70%. Note that a higher debt obligation increases the risk in investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of CStone Pharmaceuticals to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – CStone Pharmaceuticals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of important aspects you should further research:

  1. Historical Track Record: What has CStone Pharmaceuticals' performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on CStone Pharmaceuticals' board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.