Stock Analysis

We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Tong Ren Tang Technologies' (HKG:1666) Earnings

SEHK:1666
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The recent earnings posted by Tong Ren Tang Technologies Co. Ltd. (HKG:1666) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Tong Ren Tang Technologies

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1666 Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2024

Zooming In On Tong Ren Tang Technologies' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Tong Ren Tang Technologies has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to June 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥873m despite its profit of CN¥650.8m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥884m a year ago though, so Tong Ren Tang Technologies has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Tong Ren Tang Technologies' accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Tong Ren Tang Technologies' Profit Performance

Tong Ren Tang Technologies didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Tong Ren Tang Technologies' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 26% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Tong Ren Tang Technologies as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tong Ren Tang Technologies you should be mindful of and 1 of these shouldn't be ignored.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tong Ren Tang Technologies' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.