Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Frontage Holdings Corporation (HKG:1521) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that 1521 is potentially undervalued!
What Is Frontage Holdings's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Frontage Holdings had US$11.3m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has US$72.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$61.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is Frontage Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Frontage Holdings had liabilities of US$82.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$82.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$72.3m and US$69.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$23.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Frontage Holdings shares are worth a total of US$459.1m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Frontage Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Also positive, Frontage Holdings grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Frontage Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Frontage Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Frontage Holdings recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Frontage Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$61.0m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 28% over the last year. So is Frontage Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Of course, we wouldn't say no to the extra confidence that we'd gain if we knew that Frontage Holdings insiders have been buying shares: if you're on the same wavelength, you can find out if insiders are buying by clicking this link.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1521
Frontage Holdings
A contract research organization, provides laboratory and related services to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and agrochemical companies.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.