Bilibili Valuation

Is 9626 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 9626 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 9626 (HK$142.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (HK$255.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 9626 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 9626?

Key metric: As 9626 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 9626. This is calculated by dividing 9626's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 9626's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.2x
SalesCN¥25.45b
Market CapCN¥54.87b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 9626's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 9626 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
1024 Kuaishou Technology
1.4x8.7%HK$190.9b
1357 Meitu
4.5x22.1%HK$14.6b
3700 Inkeverse Group
0.4xn/aHK$3.5b
6100 Tongdao Liepin Group
0.5x-0.6%HK$1.3b
9626 Bilibili
2.2x10.8%HK$7.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 9626 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 9626's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Interactive Media and Services Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9626 2.2xIndustry Avg. 2.1xNo. of Companies24PS01.63.24.86.48+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 9626 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the Asian Interactive Media and Services industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 9626's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

9626 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 9626 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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