Stock Analysis

Activation Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:9919) CEO Kam Yiu Lau is the most upbeat insider, and their holdings increased by 11% last week

Published
SEHK:9919

Key Insights

  • Insiders appear to have a vested interest in Activation Group Holdings' growth, as seen by their sizeable ownership
  • 52% of the business is held by the top 4 shareholders
  • Ownership research, combined with past performance data can help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in Activation Group Holdings Limited (HKG:9919) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. And the group that holds the biggest piece of the pie are individual insiders with 43% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, insiders were the biggest beneficiaries of last week’s 11% gain.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Activation Group Holdings.

View our latest analysis for Activation Group Holdings

SEHK:9919 Ownership Breakdown February 7th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Activation Group Holdings?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Activation Group Holdings already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Activation Group Holdings' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

SEHK:9919 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 7th 2024

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 9.0% of Activation Group Holdings. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is the CEO Kam Yiu Lau with 21% of shares outstanding. Bo Sing Ng is the second largest shareholder owning 16% of common stock, and RAYS Capital Partners Limited holds about 9.0% of the company stock. Interestingly, the second-largest shareholder, Bo Sing Ng is also Chief Operating Officer, again, pointing towards strong insider ownership amongst the company's top shareholders.

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 4 shareholders control more than half of the company which implies that this group has considerable sway over the company's decision-making.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

Insider Ownership Of Activation Group Holdings

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in Activation Group Holdings Limited. Insiders have a HK$359m stake in this HK$842m business. It is great to see insiders so invested in the business. It might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 27% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 16%, of the Activation Group Holdings stock. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Activation Group Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Activation Group Holdings you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.