Guoen Holdings Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 8121 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

8121 (HK$0.86) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (HK$0.41)

Is 8121 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8121 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8121 (HK$0.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$0.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8121 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8121?

Key metric: As 8121 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8121. This is calculated by dividing 8121's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8121's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	4.8x
Earnings	HK$4.44m
Market Cap	HK$21.51m

8121 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.01x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	0.4x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8121's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8121 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10.2x
8627 Orange Tour Cultural Holding	14.6x	n/a	HK$43.2m
8093 Web3 Meta	3.4x	n/a	HK$60.5m
1490 Cheshi Technology	10.5x	n/a	HK$219.4m
1284 New Media Lab	12.2x	n/a	HK$222.0m
8121 Guoen Holdings	4.8x	n/a	HK$21.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8121 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x) compared to the peer average (10.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8121's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Media Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8121 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.8x) compared to the Hong Kong Media industry average (10.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8121's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8121 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	4.8x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 8121's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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