Asiaray Media Group (HKG:1993) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Asiaray Media Group Limited (HKG:1993) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Asiaray Media Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Asiaray Media Group had debt of CN¥323.5m at the end of June 2025, a reduction from CN¥379.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥185.1m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥138.4m.
How Strong Is Asiaray Media Group's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Asiaray Media Group had liabilities of CN¥1.10b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥427.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥185.1m and CN¥455.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥882.5m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥266.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Asiaray Media Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Asiaray Media Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
View our latest analysis for Asiaray Media Group
In the last year Asiaray Media Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 38%, to CN¥910m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Asiaray Media Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥38m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost CN¥47m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Asiaray Media Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1993
Asiaray Media Group
An investment holding company, operates as an out-of-home media company in the People’s Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Southeast Asia.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.
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