Stock Analysis

Health Check: How Prudently Does AM Group Holdings (HKG:1849) Use Debt?

SEHK:1849
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, AM Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1849) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for AM Group Holdings

What Is AM Group Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, AM Group Holdings had S$2.97m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has S$14.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has S$11.8m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1849 Debt to Equity History October 1st 2023

A Look At AM Group Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AM Group Holdings had liabilities of S$22.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$1.78m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$14.7m as well as receivables valued at S$29.6m due within 12 months. So it can boast S$20.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that AM Group Holdings has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that AM Group Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is AM Group Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, AM Group Holdings saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

So How Risky Is AM Group Holdings?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that AM Group Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of S$1.7m and booked a S$1.6m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of S$11.8m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for AM Group Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AM Group Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.