Stock Analysis

We Think Ruicheng (China) Media Group (HKG:1640) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SEHK:1640
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Ruicheng (China) Media Group Limited (HKG:1640) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Ruicheng (China) Media Group

How Much Debt Does Ruicheng (China) Media Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ruicheng (China) Media Group had CN¥116.0m of debt in December 2021, down from CN¥125.5m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥34.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥81.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1640 Debt to Equity History May 19th 2022

How Healthy Is Ruicheng (China) Media Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ruicheng (China) Media Group had liabilities of CN¥186.5m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥34.9m and CN¥326.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥174.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Ruicheng (China) Media Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.7 hit our confidence in Ruicheng (China) Media Group like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Ruicheng (China) Media Group actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 226%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ruicheng (China) Media Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Ruicheng (China) Media Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

The good news is that Ruicheng (China) Media Group's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Ruicheng (China) Media Group can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Ruicheng (China) Media Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.