Stock Analysis

We're Keeping An Eye On Sing Tao News' (HKG:1105) Cash Burn Rate

SEHK:1105
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So, the natural question for Sing Tao News (HKG:1105) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for Sing Tao News

Does Sing Tao News Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In June 2022, Sing Tao News had HK$416m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through HK$208m. Therefore, from June 2022 it had 2.0 years of cash runway. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1105 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2022

Is Sing Tao News' Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because Sing Tao News actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. In fact, operating revenue has stayed pretty steady over the last twelve months. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Sing Tao News is building its business over time.

Can Sing Tao News Raise More Cash Easily?

Notwithstanding Sing Tao News' revenue growth, it is still important to consider how it could raise more money, if it needs to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Sing Tao News' cash burn of HK$208m is about 68% of its HK$308m market capitalisation. Given how large that cash burn is, relative to the market value of the entire company, we'd consider it to be a high risk stock, with the real possibility of extreme dilution.

How Risky Is Sing Tao News' Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Sing Tao News' cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its cash burn relative to its market cap has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the Sing Tao News' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sing Tao News you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.