China Risun Group Limited

SHSC:1907 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$13.6b

China Risun Group Valuation

Is 1907 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1907 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1907 (HK$3.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value (HK$3.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1907 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1907?

Key metric: As 1907 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1907. This is calculated by dividing 1907's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1907's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.1x
EarningsCN¥257.01m
Market CapCN¥12.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1907's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1907 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.4x
746 Lee & Man Chemical
5.7xn/aHK$3.0b
2198 China Sanjiang Fine Chemicals
8.6xn/aHK$2.0b
2881 Wuhan Youji Holdings
5.7xn/aHK$489.8m
640 Infinity Development Holdings
5.8xn/aHK$467.6m
1907 China Risun Group
49.1x43.9%HK$13.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1907 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1907's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the HK Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
1907 49.1xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1907 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the Hong Kong Chemicals industry average (9.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1907's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1907 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.1x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1907 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1907 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentHK$3.16
HK$4.10
+29.7%
2.4%HK$4.20HK$4.00n/a2
Nov ’25HK$3.28
HK$4.10
+25.0%
2.4%HK$4.20HK$4.00n/a2
Oct ’25HK$3.16
HK$4.10
+29.7%
2.4%HK$4.20HK$4.00n/a2
Sep ’25HK$2.90
HK$4.10
+41.4%
2.4%HK$4.20HK$4.00n/a2
Aug ’25HK$2.95
HK$4.51
+53.0%
13.1%HK$5.34HK$4.00n/a3
Jul ’25HK$2.98
HK$4.67
+56.7%
14.3%HK$5.34HK$4.00n/a2
Jun ’25HK$2.99
HK$4.67
+56.2%
14.3%HK$5.34HK$4.00n/a2
Apr ’25HK$3.04
HK$5.17
+70.1%
3.3%HK$5.34HK$5.00n/a2
Mar ’25HK$3.04
HK$5.17
+70.1%
3.3%HK$5.34HK$5.00n/a2
Feb ’25HK$3.03
HK$5.17
+70.6%
3.3%HK$5.34HK$5.00n/a2
Dec ’24HK$3.23
HK$5.35
+65.6%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00n/a2
Nov ’24HK$3.24
HK$5.35
+65.1%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$3.282
Oct ’24HK$3.30
HK$5.35
+62.1%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$3.162
Sep ’24HK$3.48
HK$5.35
+53.7%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$2.902
Aug ’24HK$3.65
HK$5.35
+46.6%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$2.952
Jul ’24HK$3.64
HK$5.35
+47.0%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$2.982
Jun ’24HK$3.35
HK$5.35
+59.7%
6.5%HK$5.70HK$5.00HK$2.992

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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