Stock Analysis

Is Greenheart Group (HKG:94) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

SEHK:94
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Greenheart Group Limited (HKG:94) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Greenheart Group

How Much Debt Does Greenheart Group Carry?

As you can see below, Greenheart Group had HK$382.6m of debt, at December 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has HK$71.7m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$310.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:94 Debt to Equity History April 4th 2023

How Healthy Is Greenheart Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Greenheart Group had liabilities of HK$86.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$460.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$71.7m in cash and HK$43.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total HK$432.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$155.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Greenheart Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Greenheart Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Greenheart Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to HK$164m, which is a fall of 49%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Greenheart Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$124m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of HK$68m in the last year. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Greenheart Group (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.