Stock Analysis

Is Greenheart Group (HKG:94) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

SEHK:94
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Greenheart Group Limited (HKG:94) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Greenheart Group

What Is Greenheart Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Greenheart Group had HK$394.1m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of HK$47.7m, its net debt is less, at about HK$346.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:94 Debt to Equity History June 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Greenheart Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Greenheart Group had liabilities of HK$51.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$460.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$47.7m as well as receivables valued at HK$28.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$436.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the HK$155.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Greenheart Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Greenheart Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Greenheart Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 45%, to HK$91m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Greenheart Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping HK$74m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through HK$6.7m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Greenheart Group (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.